A paler shade of black<< page 1: what will probably be declassified What probably won’t be declassifiedThe KH-11 KENNANThe film-return satellites like GAMBIT and HEXAGON were joined in late 1976 by a new satellite that beamed its images to Earth, meaning that an event in the Soviet Union could be seen by the president in near real-time. Whereas people in the know describe HEXAGON as the most complicated satellite ever launched, they considered KENNAN to be incredibly simple by comparison. It had few moving parts and performed all its wizardry with electronics. Someone who has seen it described it as looking much like the Hubble Space Telescope, but with a shorter instrument section at the rear. It was essentially a big tube with a large mirror inside, capable of photographing objects on the ground as small as a softball.
The KENNAN was compromised only a few years after its debut when a spy sold a technical manual with information on the satellite to the Soviet Union. In the 1990s the NRO acknowledged that it used “near-real-time” satellites for reconnaissance and gradually acknowledged that this had started with the launch of the first KH-11 in 1976 (the name “KENNAN” remains classified). The technology used in the KH-11 is nowhere near as sophisticated as that available in a reasonably good cellphone camera, and a dozen other countries have satellites in orbit that use technology better than employed by the original version of this satellite—although they are not as big and therefore don’t produce images of the same high resolution. Arguments in favor of declassification: Arguments against declassification: Bottom line: a bad bet for declassification. The Air Force FerretsIn 1998 the NRO declassified the existence of the first signals intelligence satellite. Named GRAB, it was built by the Naval Research Laboratory. Several years later they revealed the existence of the follow-on program named POPPY. Although the existence of these satellites was revealed, only rudimentary data on them was released and they still remain enigmatic. The existence of GRAB and POPPY made another series of electronic signals intelligence satellites even more head-scratching. Throughout the 1960s the Air Force had launched several series of satellites into low Earth orbit, usually tossing them off the backs of GAMBIT (and later, HEXAGON) satellites, or occasionally launching larger versions by themselves. The purpose of these satellites was apparently to monitor Soviet radars and possibly also communications, and they were commonly referred to as “ferret” satellites because of their role in ferreting-out signals. Whereas GRAB had its origins in the Navy, these other satellites were apparently initiated by the Air Force, but how they differed from GRAB and POPPY remains unknown. The NRO has acknowledged the existence of these satellites, but released no details on them. Some variants were launched as late as the 1980s.
Arguments in favor of declassification: Arguments against declassification: Bottom line: a bad bet for declassification. The Manned Orbiting Laboratory (MOL)During the early 1960s the Air Force really wanted to launch its pilots into space. But the service had a thorny problem: senior civilian Pentagon leaders (like Secretary of Defense Robert McNamara) insisted that they find something useful for the military astronauts to do. In 1963 the Air Force started the Manned Orbiting Laboratory (MOL) program and selected a group of astronauts to fly aboard it. MOL was essentially a big pressurized tube filled with experiments with a two-person Gemini spacecraft on top, and it would have been launched by a powerful Titan III rocket. MOL had a difficult time gaining momentum for a year or two. Eventually—and apparently, because this story remains largely classified—the National Reconnaissance Office signed on and MOL was equipped with a powerful camera to take very high resolution photographs of the ground. In fact, one of the disputes about MOL within the intelligence community was that MOL’s photographs would be better than anybody needed. MOL suffered from the typical drawback of any human spacecraft: all the equipment needed to keep people alive in orbit added to cost and complexity. Eventually MOL’s designers were told to make the craft capable of operating unmanned as well as manned, leading to the question of why they should include humans in the first place. MOL then ran into budgetary conflict with the KH-9 HEXAGON. Richard Nixon canceled MOL in summer of 1969. Several MOL astronaut trainees later went to fly on the Space Shuttle: Robert Crippen, Richard Truly, Gordon Fullerton, and Robert Overmyer. Although the MOL program is known to have been assigned a name, DORIAN, within the NRO’s BYEMAN classification system and a KH designation (KH-10), the NRO does not acknowledge any role in the MOL program, adopting a legal policy where it refuses to confirm or deny that it has any records concerning MOL. This is a more severe approach than the NRO has taken towards other satellites like the GAMBIT and HEXAGON, although presumably the same approach it takes towards a host of other still-classified intelligence satellites. Why the NRO has adopted this policy is unknown, but decisions about what to keep classified do not have to be carefully argued and logical; it is enough that some people in charge think that a program that has been classified for over 40 years should stay classified, even if it never flew. Arguments in favor of declassification: Arguments against declassification: Bottom line: a bad bet for declassification. The Satellite Data System (SDS)Few people realize that satellite intelligence collection is essentially a tripod: imagery collection, signals collection, and communications. All that data gathered from those big expensive satellites has to be moved to the people who can use it. When the KH-11 started flying in the 1970s it was accompanied by some high-flying communications satellites with the mission of relaying the imagery to the ground, making it possible for a satellite flying low over one side of the Earth to get its images back to the other side of the Earth. The Satellite Data System, or SDS, satellites performed this task. The first generation of these satellites was based upon a commercial satellite bus and operated into the 1980s. They were eventually replaced by bigger and more powerful satellites.
Arguments in favor of declassification: Arguments against declassification: Bottom line: a bad bet for declassification. NRO involvement in the shuttle programThe shuttle will make its last flight in 2011. When that happens there will be numerous recollections on “what it all means” and undoubtedly the beginning of history conferences on the origins and evolution of the shuttle and its legacy. One gaping hole in the origin story is the role of the intelligence community in shaping the shuttle. There is anecdotal evidence that the shuttle’s design was driven by the NRO’s need to launch large payloads—essentially signals intelligence satellites—into geosynchronous orbit. But the NRO also experienced some internal conflict over converting its satellites to launch on what some intelligence community officials considered a flying turkey. Arguments in favor of declassification: Arguments against declassification: Bottom line: a bad bet for declassification. Not a snowball’s chance in HellThe NRO has flown a lot of other satellite types over the years, and some bare bones information has leaked out on these programs. They include the CANYON high-altitude communications intercept satellites, the RHYOLITE satellites used to monitor Soviet missile tests, and the White Cloud satellites used to surveil the oceans for Soviet ships. Many of these programs did not start entering into service until the late 1960s and mid-1970s, but their electronics systems are ancient and even countries like India now commercially market a broad range of signals intelligence systemsM. However, their progenitors remain in use today, and there may be operational details about how they gather intelligence that the intelligence community believes are not known and should not be known by others. Another satellite whose existence was quietly declassified last year, but that probably won’t be declassified in any other way, is the 1964 QUILL radar satellite. (See “Radar love: the tortured history of American space radar programs,” The Space Review, January 22, 2007, and “Flight of a feather: the QUILL radar satellite,” The Space Review, May 24, 2010.) Other countries have since developed radar satellites, but the intelligence community still remains touchy about this subject. Based upon anecdotal evidence so far, it seems to be that intelligence satellites will not be declassified in any way until at least two or three decades after their termination, and not unless they are significantly obsolete. Although these other systems were built in the age before the personal computer, they probably won’t see the light of day for another two or three decades. You can stop holding your breath. Home |
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